Retail Marketing Company

Retail Marketing Company

Roles
Financial Advisor
  • Developed high/low cash flow model
  • Cash flow model indicated reset of covenants with lender

The company was a large consumer products marketing company that had experienced a decline in liquidity, was anticipating continued near-term declines, and had concerns about missing covenants due to an expected 50%+ decline in EBITDA. This decline was driven by the company’s customers halting most marketing spending in the wake of COVID-19. CR3 Partners was engaged as financial advisor to build a 13-week cash flow forecast to assess near term liquidity and working capital needs and to identify cost reduction initiatives with company. CR3 accomplished the scope of work while working remotely during COVID-19 and determined the company expected performance had a high likelihood of covenant defaults, with the revised liquidity forecast forming the basis of a covenant reset with its lender.

The Situation

  • Consumer products marketing company that represented manufacturers at national retailers
  • Company faced 40% revenue decline in Q2 and uncertainty about Q3 due to COVID-19 pandemic
  • Despite being on a budget during Q1, reforecast for the remainder of year indicated 53% decline in EBITDA versus budget
  • Board had limited visibility into liquidity and had concerns about missing covenants and running out of liquidity

 The Work

  • Engaged as financial advisor
  • Built 13-week cash flow forecast to assess near-term liquidity and to understand working capital needs under a variety of “restart” scenarios
  • Identified and validated near-term cost reduction initiatives to reduce losses
  • Negotiated with vendors, including landlords, to identify options to reduce cost and increase near-term cash flow

 The Results

  • Developed high- and low-case cash flow model, reflecting potential sales levels and cost reduction initiatives
  • Cash flow model indicated little risk of running out of liquidity, but high likelihood of covenant breaches, which would form basis of a reset of covenants with lender
  • Accomplished scope of work with executive leadership and accounting and treasury personnel while working remotely during COVID-19

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